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Stenungsunds IF vs Kumla Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hassellov E.
29' Event
Hassellov E.
36'
Lindhe Rehn J.

AI Match Summary

Stenungsunds IF in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stenungsunds IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Stenungsunds IF
30%
Draws
29%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Stenungsunds IF at 1.62 per game, Kumla at 1.11.
  • Win probability leans Stenungsunds IF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Kumla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Kumla
5:0
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Stenungsunds IF
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Kumla
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Stenungsunds IF
4:1
Jun 26, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Kumla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassellov E.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Ferdinandsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 58 / 100
Kumla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Stenungsunds IF scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Kumla has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Stenungsunds IF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenungsunds IF VS Kumla
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenungsunds IF

(Home)
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
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Kumla

(Away)
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 23 13 5 5 39:25 44
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 23 9 6 8 42:30 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
10 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
11 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)