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Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ali H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Stenungsunds IF and Vanersborgs FK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanersborgs FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Stenungsunds IF
20%
Draws
29%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanersborgs FK have managed 1.27 goals a game lately — Stenungsunds IF are scoring more at 1.62.
  • Win probability leans Stenungsunds IF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 20%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK
0:1
Jun 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsunds IF
2:4
Sep 27, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsunds IF
1:0
May 25, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK
1:3
Oct 13, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 58 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Vanersborgs FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Stenungsunds IF scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stenungsunds IF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenungsunds IF VS Vanersborgs FK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenungsunds IF

(Home)
03 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
IFK Skovde
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

Vanersborgs FK

(Away)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 25 17 5 3 52:26 56
3 IFK Skovde 25 14 5 6 42:26 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)