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Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Musa D.
45' Event
Musa D.
66' Event
Prytz Rafstedt H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Stenungsunds IF and Vanersborgs IF finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenungsunds IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Stenungsunds IF
15%
Draws
0%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF haven't matched Stenungsunds IF's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Stenungsunds IF taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 20%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.62 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsunds IF
1:0
Jun 4, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsunds IF
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF
1:0
Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Prytz Rafstedt H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 85 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Vanersborgs IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Vanersborgs IF registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Stenungsunds IF scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Stenungsunds IF VS Vanersborgs IF
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenungsunds IF

(Home)
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
Page 1 of 6

Vanersborgs IF

(Away)
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 23 13 5 5 39:25 44
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 23 9 6 8 42:30 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
10 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
11 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)