Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sternberk vs Holesov

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sternberk in this 4. liga - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sternberk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sternberk
6%
Draws
90%
Holesov
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Holesov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Not much separates Sternberk and Holesov on recent form.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Holesov taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sternberk Clean Sheet 10%
Holesov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sternberk Holesov
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Holesov
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Holesov vs Sternberk
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Holesov vs Sternberk
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Holesov
1:1
May 5, 2024 4. liga - Group E
Holesov vs Sternberk
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sternberk 10 / 100
Holesov 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sternberk Holesov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holesov conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Sternberk scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sternberk stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sternberk VS Holesov
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sternberk

(Home)
03 Jun
FK Kozlovice
3 : 1
Sternberk
30 May
Sternberk
0 : 2
Breclav
24 May
Kromeriz B
2 : 5
Sternberk
12 May
Sternberk
1 : 4
Vsechovice
09 May
Sternberk
1 : 3
Brumov
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Holesov

(Away)
12 Jun
Strani
3 : 1
Holesov
06 Jun
Holesov
3 : 0
Batov
30 May
Bzenec
2 : 0
Holesov
23 May
Holesov
4 : 0
Nove Sady
17 May
Skastice
2 : 3
Holesov
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