Stevenage in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
Stevenage
30%
Draws
23%
Bromley
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Medium Confidence
Stevenage have won more games recently than Bromley.
42% — that's where the model lands on Stevenage taking it.
Stevenage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals70%
Over 4.5 Goals32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)70.6%
Stevenage Clean Sheet20%
Bromley Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Stevenage
Bromley
Matches Played
31
29
Wins
15
12
Draws
6
11
Losses
10
6
Goals Scored
0.5
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.13
2.5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.13
2.50
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025EFL Trophy
StevenagevsBromley
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top GoalscorerWhite H.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderAhadme G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game0.38
Avg xA / game0.25
Bromley Compare
Top GoalscorerWebster B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.03
Avg xA / game0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage42 / 100
Bromley36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Bromley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickDraw (X)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stevenage found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Bromley has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Stevenage remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.