Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Cumming J. In: Eastwood S.
Out: Cumming J.
15'
15'
Helik M.
33'
33'
Sub
Pattenden J. In: Houghton J.
Out: Pattenden J.
AI Match Summary
Oxford Utd in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oxford Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oxford Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Stevenage lately — more wins on the board than Oxford Utd.
- Model gives Stevenage a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 11%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Oxford Utd
1:2
Apr 19, 2024 League One
Oxford Utd vs Stevenage
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 League One
Stevenage vs Oxford Utd
1:3
Oct 5, 2021 EFL Trophy
Oxford Utd vs Stevenage
1:2
Aug 29, 2017 EFL Trophy
Stevenage vs Oxford Utd
2:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Roberts J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Oxford Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Donkor G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 35 / 100
Oxford Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Oxford Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Stevenage found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Oxford Utd has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Stevenage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Oxford Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0 Stevenage
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3 Reading
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3 Reading
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 4
Oxford Utd
(Away) 05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
15 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 19 | Milton Keynes Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
