Sport Picks
Stevenage vs Oxford Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One SPORTA Arena, Stevenage 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Cumming J. In: Eastwood S.
Out: Cumming J.
15'
15'
Helik M.
33'
33'
Sub
Pattenden J. In: Houghton J.
Out: Pattenden J.
AI Match Summary
Oxford Utd in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oxford Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oxford Utd lately — more wins on the board than Stevenage.
- Model gives Stevenage a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 17%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Oxford Utd
1:2
Apr 19, 2024 League One
Oxford Utd vs Stevenage
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 League One
Stevenage vs Oxford Utd
1:3
Oct 5, 2021 EFL Trophy
Oxford Utd vs Stevenage
1:2
Aug 29, 2017 EFL Trophy
Stevenage vs Oxford Utd
2:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Roberts J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Oxford Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Donkor G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 41 / 100
Oxford Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Oxford Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Stevenage found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Oxford Utd has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Stevenage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Oxford Utd
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
17 Oct
Bradford City
2 : 0 Stevenage
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
Page 1 of 4
Oxford Utd
(Away) 24 Oct
Oxford Utd
0 : 0 Bradford City
20 Oct
Oxford Utd
2 : 1 Wigan
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 17 |
| 11 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:19 | 13 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:17 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
