Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Taylor J.
58'
58'
Sub
Saydee C. In: Bettoni H.
Out: Saydee C.
68'
68'
Sub
Thompson L. In: Phillips D.
Out: Thompson L.
AI Match Summary
Stevenage in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stevenage.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Wigan haven't matched Stevenage's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 20%
Wigan Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Wigan
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Wigan
1:2
Sep 24, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Sweeney D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Wigan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 32 / 100
Wigan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Wigan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stevenage scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Stevenage has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Wigan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 07 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2 Stevenage
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 4
Wigan
(Away) 08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1 Wigan
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
31 Jul
Southport
0 : 0 Wigan
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3 Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1 Wigan
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
31 Jul
Southport
0 : 0 Wigan
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3 Wigan
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
