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Stevenage vs Wigan

England England

League One 2025/2026 Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Taylor J.
58'
Sub
Saydee C. In: Bettoni H.
Out: Saydee C.
68'
Sub
Thompson L. In: Phillips D.
Out: Thompson L.

AI Match Summary

Stevenage in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stevenage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Stevenage
28%
Draws
50%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Wigan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Wigan haven't matched Stevenage's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Wigan's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 19%
Wigan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stevenage Wigan
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Wigan
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Wigan
1:2
Sep 24, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Sweeney D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Wigan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 24 / 100
Wigan 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stevenage Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stevenage scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Wigan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Wigan
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5
West Ham
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0
Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0
Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Wigan

(Away)
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3
Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)