Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stilon Gorzow vs Brzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Smuniewski O.

AI Match Summary

Stilon Gorzow in this III Liga - Group III 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stilon Gorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Stilon Gorzow
20%
Draws
61%
Brzeg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Stilon Gorzow haven't matched Brzeg's recent run of results.
  • Brzeg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Stilon Gorzow Clean Sheet 20%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stilon Gorzow Brzeg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Brzeg
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Stilon Gorzow
0:2
Apr 8, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Brzeg
2:5
Sep 3, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Stilon Gorzow
0:2
May 1, 2019 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Brzeg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stilon Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Smuniewski O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brzeg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stilon Gorzow 16 / 100
Brzeg 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stilon Gorzow Brzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stilon Gorzow scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Brzeg let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Stilon Gorzow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stilon Gorzow VS Brzeg
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stilon Gorzow

(Home)
08 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Stilon Gorzow
01 Aug
Stilon Gorzow
3 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
25 Jul
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
21 Feb
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 1
Stilon Gorzow
24 Jan
Polkowice
3 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
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Brzeg

(Away)
07 Aug
Brzeg
5 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
31 Jul
Brzeg
1 : 1
Goczalkowice Zdroj
24 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0
Polonia Nysa
18 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0
Starowice Dolne
04 Jul
ROW Rybnik
1 : 2
Brzeg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slask Wroclaw II 34 23 6 5 75:30 75
2 Kluczbork 34 21 6 7 69:23 69
3 Legnica II 34 20 7 7 72:45 67
4 Carina Gubin 34 19 6 9 62:36 63
5 Warta Gorzow 34 18 7 9 57:39 61
6 Goczalkowice Zdroj 34 14 14 6 48:34 56
7 Sleza Wroclaw 34 14 10 10 56:47 52
8 Zielona Gora 34 15 7 12 48:37 52
9 Polkowice 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
10 Pniowek Pawlowice 34 15 4 15 42:63 49
11 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 34 13 9 12 40:43 48
12 Gornik Zabrze II 34 13 9 12 57:44 48
13 Stilon Gorzow 34 13 6 15 42:44 45
14 Podlesianka Katowice 34 10 7 17 51:61 37
15 Bytom Odrzanski 34 8 9 17 42:71 33
16 Unia Turza Slaska 34 5 6 23 28:73 21
17 Brzeg 34 3 9 22 26:60 18
18 Polonia Slubice 34 1 3 30 16:89 6
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)