Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stirling vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
McLean R.
Assist: Thomson K.
42' Event
Brown A.
90' Event
Shanks K.

AI Match Summary

Stirling in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stirling
20%
Draws
44%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peterhead lately — more wins on the board than Stirling.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Peterhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Peterhead, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Peterhead have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Stirling Clean Sheet 11%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stirling Peterhead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Stirling vs Peterhead
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Stirling vs Peterhead
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 League Two
Peterhead vs Stirling
3:2
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Stirling vs Peterhead
2:3
Sep 14, 2024 League Two
Peterhead vs Stirling
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stirling Compare

Top Goalscorer McLean R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Shanks K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stirling 35 / 100
Peterhead 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stirling Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Stirling scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Stirling has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stirling VS Peterhead
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stirling

(Home)
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Clyde
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
08 Sept
Stirling
3 : 2
Rangers B
Page 1 of 6

Peterhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
Peterhead
2 : 1
Clachnacuddin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)