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Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Samsung völlurinn, Gardabaer
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Palmason F.
27' Event
Cosic A.
Assist: Sigurdarson A.
36'
Orvarsson O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Stjarnan
30%
Draws
31%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KR Reykjavik lately — more wins on the board than Stjarnan.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Stjarnan taking it.
  • KR Reykjavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KR Reykjavik, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.8 3.34
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
5:0
May 13, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
2:1
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 League Cup
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
0:4
Aug 25, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palmason A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 40 / 100
KR Reykjavik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

KR Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Stjarnan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS KR Reykjavik
1.5 Goals Scored 3.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan

(Home)
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

KR Reykjavik

(Away)
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
16 Aug
KR Reykjavik
3 : 3
Breidablik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 4
Thor Akureyri 0
Fylkir 2
Final
KR Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 5