Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stjarnan vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Samsung völlurinn
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Sigurdsson G.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Borgthorsson O.
Assist: Ingimundarson V.
39'
Ekroth O.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Stjarnan and Vikingur Reykjavik finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stjarnan
39%
Draws
30%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vikingur Reykjavik come out ahead of Stjarnan on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:3
Apr 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
3:2
Sep 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:3
Aug 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
2:4
May 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dankerlui D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgthorsson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingimundarson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 30 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan Vikingur Reykjavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stjarnan scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Stjarnan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Vikingur Reykjavik conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS Vikingur Reykjavik
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik15131149:1140
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram15103241:2833
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1661926:3219
6IBV Vestmannaeyjar1544726:3316
7Keflavik1444619:2616
8Stjarnan1543828:3615
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1542924:3214
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211