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Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W

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League Cup Women Stjörnuvöllur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stjarnan W play Hafnarfjordur W in the League Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stjarnan W averaged 2.52 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Hafnarfjordur W averaged 2.87 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Stjarnan W won 0, Hafnarfjordur W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Stjarnan W and 2.44 for Hafnarfjordur W. This points to a Hafnarfjordur W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Stjarnan W
16%
Draws
45%
Hafnarfjordur W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Hafnarfjordur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Stjarnan W picked up more points recently compared to Hafnarfjordur W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan W Hafnarfjordur W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.52 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:3
Oct 1, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
3:4
Aug 21, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
2:2
May 9, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan W 37 / 100
Hafnarfjordur W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan W Hafnarfjordur W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hafnarfjordur W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stjarnan W attacking → ← attacking Hafnarfjordur W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan W scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Hafnarfjordur W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Stjarnan W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hafnarfjordur W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 55
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Throttur W540121:1112
2Stjarnan W531125:810
3Thor/KA W530218:109
4Grindavik/Njardvik W521211:97
5Hafnarfjordur W520318:106
6FHL W50052:470
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Breidablik W430119:59
2Vikingur Reykjavik W320111:76
3Valur W42026:56
4Fram W41123:134
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar W30122:111
6Tindastoll W00000:00