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Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Stjörnuvöllur
Tue, Jul 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stjarnan W play Thor/KA W in the Besta deild Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stjarnan W averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Thor/KA W averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Stjarnan W won 3, Thor/KA W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Stjarnan W and 1.13 for Thor/KA W. This points to a Stjarnan W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Stjarnan W
17%
Draws
29%
Thor/KA W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Stjarnan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Stjarnan W picked up more points recently compared to Thor/KA W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 21%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan W Thor/KA W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.55 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Icelandic Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
1:4
May 6, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
5:3
Sep 6, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
4:1
May 24, 2025 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan W 53 / 100
Thor/KA W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan W Thor/KA W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stjarnan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Stjarnan W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stjarnan W attacking → ← attacking Thor/KA W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan W scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Thor/KA W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Stjarnan W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Thor/KA W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 31
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Breidablik W970225:1121
2Hafnarfjordur W962124:1220
3Stjarnan W952216:817
4IBV Vestmannaeyjar W942313:1614
5Throttur W941411:913
6Grindavik/Njardvik W933311:1412
7Vikingur Reykjavik W931517:2310
8Valur W92348:119
9Thor/KA W913513:196
10Fram W91178:234