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Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Stjörnuvöllur, Reykjavík
Stjarnan W Logo

Stjarnan W

3 - 2
FT
Thor/KA W Logo

Thor/KA W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Johannesdottir F.
Assist: Ulfarsdottir U.
31'
Arnadottir M.
37' Event
Johannsdottir B.
Assist: Johannesdottir M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Stjarnan W and Thor/KA W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stjarnan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Stjarnan W
20%
Draws
70%
Thor/KA W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thor/KA W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Thor/KA W have managed 1.8 goals a game lately — Stjarnan W are scoring more at 2.16.
  • Win probability leans Thor/KA W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stjarnan W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 14%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan W Thor/KA W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.16 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
3:2
May 15, 2026 Icelandic Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
1:4
May 6, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
5:3
Sep 6, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannesdottir F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jorundsdottir S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Thor/KA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannsdottir B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flurey E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan W 27 / 100
Thor/KA W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan W Thor/KA W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thor/KA W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Thor/KA W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Stjarnan W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan W VS Thor/KA W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan W

(Home)
02 Oct
Stjarnan W
0 : 0
Grindavik/Njardvik W
27 Sept
Throttur W
5 : 1
Stjarnan W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
Page 1 of 7

Thor/KA W

(Away)
02 Oct
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 2
Thor/KA W
25 Sept
Thor/KA W
1 : 2
Fram W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)