Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stockay-Warfusee vs St. Liege U23

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jurdan T.
52'
Kiyine S.

AI Match Summary

Stockay-Warfusee in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stockay-Warfusee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Stockay-Warfusee
30%
Draws
37%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Liege U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Stockay-Warfusee have won more games recently than St. Liege U23.
  • Model gives Stockay-Warfusee a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Stockay-Warfusee Clean Sheet 20%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockay-Warfusee St. Liege U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Stockay-Warfusee
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Stockay-Warfusee vs St. Liege U23
3:0
Feb 1, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Stockay-Warfusee vs St. Liege U23
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Stockay-Warfusee
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Stockay-Warfusee
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockay-Warfusee Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurdan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

St. Liege U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockay-Warfusee 36 / 100
St. Liege U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockay-Warfusee St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stockay-Warfusee scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

St. Liege U23 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Stockay-Warfusee has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stockay-Warfusee VS St. Liege U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockay-Warfusee

(Home)
29 Aug
Stade Vervietois
3 : 1
Stockay-Warfusee
26 Aug
Stockay-Warfusee
2 : 0
Hutoise
04 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 1
Stockay-Warfusee
10 May
St. Gilloise 2
2 : 1
Stockay-Warfusee
03 May
Stockay-Warfusee
3 : 0
Namur
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St. Liege U23

(Away)
30 Aug
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Tubize-Braine
10 May
St. Liege U23
1 : 1
Crossing Schaerbeek
03 May
Charleroi B
0 : 2
St. Liege U23
25 Apr
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 1
St. Liege U23
19 Apr
St. Liege U23
3 : 0
Stockay-Warfusee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tubize-Braine 22 14 5 3 49:20 47
2 Virton 22 14 5 3 61:35 47
3 Renaissance Mons 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Meux 22 10 6 6 38:28 36
5 Habay La Neuve 22 10 6 6 38:35 36
6 Union Rochefortoise 22 9 4 9 33:40 31
7 Charleroi B 22 9 3 10 36:38 30
8 Stockay-Warfusee 22 7 5 10 22:35 26
9 St. Gilloise 2 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Namur 22 4 4 14 30:50 16
11 Crossing Schaerbeek 22 4 4 14 24:44 16
12 St. Liege U23 22 3 6 13 25:47 15
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)