Sport Picks
Stockport County vs Crewe
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Edgeley Park, Stockport 
Match Events
31'
31'
Andrew D.
49'
49'
Wootton K.
Assist: Dodgson O.
52'
52'
Lowe N.
Assist: Dodgson O.
AI Match Summary
Stockport County in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Stockport County have won more games recently than Crewe.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Stockport County taking it.
- Stockport County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 16%
Crewe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stockport County | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2025 EFL Trophy
Crewe vs Stockport County
1:2
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Stockport County vs Crewe
3:1
Feb 13, 2024 League Two
Stockport County vs Crewe
1:3
Oct 24, 2023 League Two
Crewe vs Stockport County
0:2
Jan 31, 2023 League Two
Crewe vs Stockport County
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stockport County Compare
Top Goalscorer Wootton K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lowe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Tezgel E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stockport County 36 / 100
Crewe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stockport County Crewe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stockport County scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Crewe conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Stockport County has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stockport County VS Crewe
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stockport County
(Home) 26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0 Peterborough
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0 Stockport County
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0 Peterborough
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
29 Aug
Stockport County
5 : 1 Wycombe
22 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Blackpool
18 Aug
Stockport County
6 : 3 Everton U21
Page 1 of 3
Crewe
(Away) 26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1 Crewe
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1 Crewe
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2 Crewe
15 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 1 Crewe
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
