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Stadium Background

Stockport County vs Wigan

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Edgeley Park, Stockport
Tue, Nov 11, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
McManaman C.
28'
Sub
Hungbo J. In: Murray F.
Out: Hungbo J.
32' Event
O'Keeffe C.
Assist: Fiorini L.

AI Match Summary

Stockport County in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Stockport County
22%
Draws
18%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Stockport County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Wigan haven't matched Stockport County's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Stockport County taking it.
  • Stockport County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 20%
Wigan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockport County Wigan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 League One
Stockport County vs Wigan
4:2
Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy
Stockport County vs Wigan
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Stockport County
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup
Wigan vs Stockport County
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Stockport County
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Keeffe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Wigan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockport County 58 / 100
Wigan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockport County Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockport County found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Wigan has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stockport County stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stockport County VS Wigan
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockport County

(Home)
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1
Stockport County
17 Jul
Stockport County
2 : 0
Bristol City
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1
Stockport County
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0
Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Wigan

(Away)
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3
Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)