Stockport County in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
Stockport County
22%
Draws
18%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 22%Favored: Stockport County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
Wigan haven't matched Stockport County's recent run of results.
60% — that's where the model lands on Stockport County taking it.
Stockport County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)70.2%
Stockport County Clean Sheet20%
Wigan Clean Sheet11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Stockport County
Wigan
Matches Played
30
29
Wins
17
9
Draws
5
6
Losses
8
14
Goals Scored
1.88
0.88
Goals Conceded
1
0.63
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.00
0.63
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026League One
Stockport CountyvsWigan
4:2
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
Stockport CountyvsWigan
2:1
Aug 30, 2025League One
WiganvsStockport County
1:1
Aug 26, 2025EFL Cup
WiganvsStockport County
1:0
Feb 15, 2025League One
WiganvsStockport County
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stockport County Compare
Top GoalscorerO'Keeffe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.45
Avg xA / game0.94
Wigan Compare
Avg xG / game0.8
Avg xA / game0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stockport County58 / 100
Wigan18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stockport County Wigan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickSTO Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stockport County found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Wigan has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Stockport County stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.