Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Edgeley Park, Stockport

Stockport County

Tue, Nov 11, 2025

2 - 1

07:00 PM

Wigan

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

McManaman C.

28'

Sub

Hungbo J. In: Murray F.

Out: Hungbo J.

32'

O'Keeffe C.

Assist: Fiorini L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stockport County in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Stockport County

15%

Draws

34%

Wigan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stockport County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Wigan haven't matched Stockport County's recent run of results.
51% — that's where the model lands on Stockport County taking it.
Stockport County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Stockport County Clean Sheet 16%

Wigan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stockport County	Wigan
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	17	10
Draws	3	6
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	2.1	1.11
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One

Wigan vs Stockport County

0:4

Feb 21, 2026 League One

Stockport County vs Wigan

4:2

Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy

Stockport County vs Wigan

2:1

Aug 30, 2025 League One

Wigan vs Stockport County

1:1

Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup

Wigan vs Stockport County

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Keeffe C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Wigan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockport County 84 / 100

Wigan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stockport County Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stockport County Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockport County found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Wigan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stockport County VS Wigan

2.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockport County

(Home)

12 Sept

Stockport County

3 : 4

Leicester

05 Sept

Wigan

0 : 4

Stockport County

02 Sept

Luton

2 : 0

Stockport County

29 Aug

Stockport County

5 : 1

Wycombe

22 Aug

Stockport County

1 : 2

Blackpool

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Wigan

(Away)

12 Sept

Sheffield Wed

0 : 0

Wigan

05 Sept

Wigan

0 : 4

Stockport County

02 Sept

Wigan

3 : 1

Milton Keynes Dons

30 Aug

AFC Wimbledon

1 : 0

Wigan

22 Aug

Wigan

0 : 2

Leyton Orient

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