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Stockton vs Bury FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Nouble F.

AI Match Summary

Stockton in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stockton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stockton
15%
Draws
54%
Bury FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bury FC lately — more wins on the board than Stockton.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockton Bury FC
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 1
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.14 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Bury FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockton Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouble F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bury FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockton 30 / 100
Bury FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockton Bury FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockton scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Bury FC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Stockton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Stockton VS Bury FC
1.75 Goals Scored 3.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockton

(Home)
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Hyde
2 : 1
Stockton
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
Page 1 of 6

Bury FC

(Away)
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Bury FC
2 : 1
Bromsgrove
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3
Gainsborough
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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