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Stockton vs Cleethorpes

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Petitjean J.
82' Event
Hughes L.
90' Event
Hayes K.

AI Match Summary

Stockton in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stockton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Stockton
15%
Draws
59%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cleethorpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Stockton haven't matched Cleethorpes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cleethorpes a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockton Cleethorpes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Cleethorpes
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Stockton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockton Compare

Top Goalscorer Petitjean J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hayes K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cleethorpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockton 10 / 100
Cleethorpes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockton Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stockton scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cleethorpes has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Stockton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stockton VS Cleethorpes
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockton

(Home)
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2
Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2
Redcar Athletic
29 Aug
Avro
5 : 3
Stockton
25 Aug
Guiseley
3 : 0
Stockton
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0
Alfreton
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3
Curzon Ashton
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0
Whitby
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)