Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Sweet M.
50'
50'
Lawson D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lancaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lancaster lately — more wins on the board than Stockton.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Stockton Clean Sheet 11%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stockton | Lancaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Lancaster
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Stockton
1:2
Jan 15, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Lancaster
1:0
Sep 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Stockton
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stockton Compare
Top Goalscorer Sweet M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Lawson D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stockton 35 / 100
Lancaster 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stockton Lancaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lancaster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Stockton scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Lancaster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Stockton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stockton VS Lancaster
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stockton
(Home) 12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1 Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1 Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2 Redcar Athletic
29 Aug
Avro
5 : 3 Stockton
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2 Redcar Athletic
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0 Alfreton
15 Aug
Stockton
1 : 1 Leek Town
11 Aug
Stockton
0 : 1 Ashton United
Page 1 of 3
Lancaster
(Away) 12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
08 Sept
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2 Lancaster
05 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1 Tadcaster Albion
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
28 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2 Lancaster
28 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2 Lancaster
25 Aug
Bury FC
0 : 1 Lancaster
18 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Lancaster
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
