Sport Picks
Stockton vs United of Manchester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sudworth A.
45'
45'
Thompson S.
77'
77'
Scott J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United of Manchester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to United of Manchester lately — more wins on the board than Stockton.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stockton | United of Manchester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs United of Manchester
2:2
Apr 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Stockton
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs United of Manchester
2:3
Mar 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Stockton
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs United of Manchester
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stockton Compare
Top Goalscorer Scott J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nicholson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
United of Manchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Sudworth A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Le Fondre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stockton 30 / 100
United of Manchester 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stockton United of Manchester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick United of Manchester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
United of Manchester let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Stockton found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Stockton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stockton VS United of Manchester
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stockton
(Home) 06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0 Bury FC
03 Oct
Hyde
2 : 1 Stockton
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1 Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1 Stockton
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0 Bury FC
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2 Redcar Athletic
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0 Alfreton
Page 1 of 3
United of Manchester
(Away) 06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3 United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0 United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3 United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0 United of Manchester
05 Sept
Garforth
1 : 5 United of Manchester
29 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2 United of Manchester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
