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Stoke City LFC W vs Derby W

England England

Women's National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Women's National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Stoke City LFC W
39%
Draws
31%
Derby W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stoke City LFC W lately — more wins on the board than Derby W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stoke City LFC W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Stoke City LFC W Clean Sheet 68%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City LFC W Derby W
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Derby W
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Stoke City LFC W
1:2
Feb 12, 2025 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Derby W
4:1
Sep 25, 2024 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Stoke City LFC W
2:4
Mar 13, 2024 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Derby W
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City LFC W 41 / 100
Derby W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City LFC W Derby W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stoke City LFC W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Derby W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Stoke City LFC W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City LFC W VS Derby W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley W22202063:562
2Wolverhampton W22201170:1061
3Rugby Borough W22125543:2741
4Stoke City LFC W22103936:3133
5Middlesbrough W2287729:3031
6West Brom W2294929:3131
7Liverpool Feds W22751044:4526
8Derby W22641218:3922
9Hull City W22551223:5420
10Loughborough Lightning W22471121:4319
11Halifax W22441415:3816
12Sporting Khalsa W22311818:5610