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Stoke City LFC W vs Leafield Athletic W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Leafield Athletic W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stoke City LFC W
15%
Draws
48%
Leafield Athletic W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leafield Athletic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stoke City LFC W come out ahead of Leafield Athletic W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Leafield Athletic W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Stoke City LFC W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leafield Athletic W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Stoke City LFC W Clean Sheet 16%
Leafield Athletic W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City LFC W Leafield Athletic W
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2012 Women’s FA Cup
Stoke City LFC W vs Leafield Athletic W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City LFC W 23 / 100
Leafield Athletic W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City LFC W Leafield Athletic W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leafield Athletic W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Stoke City LFC W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Leafield Athletic W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 14 matches.

Stoke City LFC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City LFC W VS Leafield Athletic W
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City LFC W

(Home)
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Stoke City LFC W
5 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
16 Aug
Stoke City LFC W
2 : 0
West Brom W
09 Aug
Gwalia United W
0 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
26 Apr
Burnley W
3 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
Page 1 of 7

Leafield Athletic W

(Away)
14 Dec
Leafield Athletic W
2 : 3
Swindon W
23 Nov
Leafield Athletic W
2 : 1
Worcester W
26 Oct
Leafield Athletic W
8 : 0
Crusaders W
24 Nov
Norwich W
1 : 0
Leafield Athletic W
03 Nov
Derby W
1 : 3
Leafield Athletic W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sporting Club Albion W 1
Sunderland W 2
Coventry United W 0
Manchester City W 1
Aston Villa W 3
Preston W 0
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Gillingham W 2
Nottingham W 3
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Gwalia United W 2
Reading W 1
TBD -
Birmingham W -
Doncaster W -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol City W -
Oxford Utd W 2
Newcastle Utd W 1
TBD -
Everton W -
Notts County W -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Watford W 0
Leeds W 2
Yeovil W 3
Portsmouth W 0
1/8-finals
Sunderland W 4
Manchester City W 0
Aston Villa W 0
Liverpool W 5
Nottingham W 0
Arsenal W 7
Gwalia United W 1
Birmingham W 3
Doncaster W 0
Bristol City W 2
Oxford Utd W 0
Everton W 7
Notts County W 1
Chelsea W 0
Leeds W 4
Yeovil W 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland W 1
Liverpool W 2
Arsenal W 6
Birmingham W 0
Bristol City W 3
Everton W 2
Notts County W 4
Leeds W 0
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 2
Bristol City W 2
Notts County W 0
Final
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0