Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ali Wahid F.
Assist: Tanton D.
18'
Sub
Olyott T. In: Benchaita N.
Out: Olyott T.
22' Event
Slade B.
Assist: Quashie J.

AI Match Summary

Stoke City U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stoke City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stoke City U21
15%
Draws
49%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fulham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Stoke City U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U21 Fulham U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.1 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Premier League 2
Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21
3:2
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League 2
Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21
0:1
Mar 11, 2023 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21
1:6
Mar 2, 2016 Premier League U21
Fulham U21 vs Stoke City U21
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 Premier League U21
Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osei J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chibueze C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Fulham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Wahid F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slade B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U21 30 / 100
Fulham U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U21 Fulham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Stoke City U21 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Away concern: Fulham U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U21 VS Fulham U21
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 7

Fulham U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1
Fulham U21
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1
Fulham U21
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
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