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Stoke City vs Everton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hackney H. In: Iroegbunam T.
Out: Hackney H.
46'
Sub
Wilmot B. In: Smit M.
Out: Wilmot B.
46'
Sub
Rigo T. In: Fawunmi F.
Out: Rigo T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stoke City and Everton finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stoke City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stoke City
30%
Draws
33%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stoke City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Everton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Stoke City taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 17%
Everton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City Everton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Stoke City vs Everton
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Stoke City vs Everton
0:1
Mar 17, 2018 Premier League
Stoke City vs Everton
1:2
Aug 12, 2017 Premier League
Everton vs Stoke City
1:0
Feb 1, 2017 Premier League
Stoke City vs Everton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Everton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City 39 / 100
Everton 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stoke City's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Everton has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Stoke City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City VS Everton
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City

(Home)
08 Aug
Stoke City
2 : 0
Oldham
01 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 1
Valencia
28 Jul
Stoke City
1 : 0
Everton
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1
Stoke City
10 Jul
Stoke City
0 : 1
Braga
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Everton

(Away)
12 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 3
Everton
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Everton
01 Aug
Hamburger
1 : 2
Everton
28 Jul
Stoke City
1 : 0
Everton
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0
Everton
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