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Stolem Gniewino vs Unia Janikowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Sat, Jun 3, 2023
3 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stolem Gniewino play Unia Janikowo in the III Liga - Group II 2022/2023. Stolem Gniewino are favorites here. Recently, Stolem Gniewino averaged 1 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Unia Janikowo averaged 0.38 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. In past meetings, Stolem Gniewino won 1, Unia Janikowo won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 3, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Stolem Gniewino and 1.13 for Unia Janikowo. This points to a Stolem Gniewino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Stolem Gniewino
28%
Draws
16%
Unia Janikowo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stolem Gniewino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Stolem Gniewino picked up more points recently compared to Unia Janikowo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Stolem Gniewino Clean Sheet 21%
Unia Janikowo Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stolem Gniewino Unia Janikowo
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 9 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.59

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Unia Janikowo
3:0
Nov 5, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Stolem Gniewino
1:1
Apr 27, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Stolem Gniewino
0:0
Sep 18, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Unia Janikowo
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stolem Gniewino 55 / 100
Unia Janikowo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stolem Gniewino Unia Janikowo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stolem Gniewino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Stolem Gniewino & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stolem Gniewino attacking → ← attacking Unia Janikowo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stolem Gniewino scored in 61% of their last 36 games.

Unia Janikowo let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Stolem Gniewino went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Unia Janikowo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 6
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ol. Grudziadz34237473:1876
2Pogon Szczecin II34209569:2569
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol342041075:5464
4Zawisza341951069:4562
5Gedania Gdansk341941163:5961
6Starogard Gdanski34178944:3559
7Swit Szczecin341671161:4155
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341661251:4654
9Kleczew341451553:4847
10Unia Swarzedz3411111237:4244
11Cartusia Kartuzy3411101337:4043
12Blekitni Stargard3410121246:4542
13Stolem Gniewino34991633:5236
14Vineta Wolin348111547:6635
15Unia Solec Kujawski34981740:5935
16Jarocin34961941:6933
17B. Gdynia34842243:7028
18Unia Janikowo34242817:8510
19Przodkowo00000:00