Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stomil Olsztyn vs Swit Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion OSiR, Olsztyn
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Yampol A.
46' Event
Klugier P.
74' Event
Yampol A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Stomil Olsztyn and Swit Mazowiecki finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Stomil Olsztyn
28%
Draws
50%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swit Mazowiecki come out ahead of Stomil Olsztyn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Swit Mazowiecki a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 10%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stomil Olsztyn Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Stomil Olsztyn vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Stomil Olsztyn
0:1
Feb 1, 2020 Club Friendly
Stomil Olsztyn vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:1
Jan 26, 2019 Club Friendly
Stomil Olsztyn vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:2
May 13, 2012 Division 2 - East
Stomil Olsztyn vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomil Olsztyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Klugier P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Yampol A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomil Olsztyn 22 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stomil Olsztyn Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stomil Olsztyn found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Swit Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Swit Mazowiecki registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stomil Olsztyn VS Swit Mazowiecki
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stomil Olsztyn

(Home)
25 Jul
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 1
Stomil Olsztyn
18 Jul
Legia U19
3 : 1
Stomil Olsztyn
07 Jun
Stomil Olsztyn
0 : 4
LKS Lomza
31 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Stomil Olsztyn
28 May
Suwalki
1 : 2
Stomil Olsztyn
Page 1 of 6

Swit Mazowiecki

(Away)
18 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pruszkow
15 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
11 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 1
Hutnik Warszawa
30 May
Suwalki
3 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
23 May
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)