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Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sarapata P.
19' Event
Milek K.
40' Event
Sarapata P.

AI Match Summary

Stomilanki Olsztyn W host Czarni Sosnowiec W in the Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Stomilanki Olsztyn W at 1 goals for, 3.75 against; Czarni Sosnowiec W at 2.88 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Stomilanki Olsztyn W have won 0 to Czarni Sosnowiec W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 3.31, favoring Czarni Sosnowiec W. Czarni Sosnowiec W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
6%
Draws
90%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Stomilanki Olsztyn W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Czarni Sosnowiec W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stomilanki Olsztyn W Czarni Sosnowiec W
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 8 26
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1 2.88
Goals Conceded 3.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:5
Aug 23, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
5:3
Mar 9, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
2:7
Aug 24, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
12:0
Mar 16, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomilanki Olsztyn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarapata P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Milek K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomilanki Olsztyn W 10 / 100
Czarni Sosnowiec W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Czarni Sosnowiec W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stomilanki Olsztyn W scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Czarni Sosnowiec W let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 8.40 goals.

Stomilanki Olsztyn W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Czarni Sosnowiec W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stomilanki Olsztyn W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W
1 Goals Scored 2.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667