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Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kuleczka M.
39' Event
Przybyl J.
78' Event
Sworska L.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Stomilanki Olsztyn W and Lech-UAM Poznan W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech-UAM Poznan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
22%
Draws
60%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lech-UAM Poznan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lech-UAM Poznan W come out ahead of Stomilanki Olsztyn W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lech-UAM Poznan W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Clean Sheet 20%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stomilanki Olsztyn W Lech-UAM Poznan W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
0:4
Aug 9, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomilanki Olsztyn W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuleczka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Przybyl J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomilanki Olsztyn W 20 / 100
Lech-UAM Poznan W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Lech-UAM Poznan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stomilanki Olsztyn W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lech-UAM Poznan W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Stomilanki Olsztyn W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stomilanki Olsztyn W VS Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667