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Stord vs OS TF

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Sivertsen M.
23' Event
Vindenes R.
34' Event
Sperrevik H. T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between Stord and OS TF finished 4-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OS TF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Stord
30%
Draws
52%
OS TF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OS TF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OS TF come out ahead of Stord on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OS TF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
OS TF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord OS TF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 11 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.97 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
OS TF vs Stord
8:2
May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs OS TF
4:6
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs OS TF
1:0
May 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
OS TF vs Stord
4:0
Oct 2, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Stord
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoknes J. H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jorgensen M. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

OS TF Compare

Top Goalscorer Vindenes R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sivertsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 30 / 100
OS TF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord OS TF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OS TF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

OS TF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stord stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS OS TF
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
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OS TF

(Away)
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
30 Aug
V. Haugesund
1 : 2
OS TF
22 Aug
OS TF
2 : 0
Lysekloster
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