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Stord vs OS TF

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Sivertsen M.
23' Event
Vindenes R.
34' Event
Sperrevik H. T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between Stord and OS TF finished 4-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OS TF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stord
44%
Draws
20%
OS TF
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OS TF come out ahead of Stord on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
OS TF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord OS TF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 3.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs OS TF
4:6
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs OS TF
1:0
May 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
OS TF vs Stord
4:0
Oct 2, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Stord
3:2
Oct 3, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Stord
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoknes J. H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jorgensen M. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

OS TF Compare

Top Goalscorer Vindenes R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sivertsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 34 / 100
OS TF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord OS TF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

OS TF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Stord remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS OS TF
1.5 Goals Scored 3.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
15 Jun
Asane 2
1 : 2
Stord
30 May
Stord
2 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
22 May
V. Haugesund
4 : 1
Stord
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OS TF

(Away)
25 Jun
Asane 2
3 : 5
OS TF
20 Jun
OS TF
5 : 2
Brann 2
13 Jun
Askoy
3 : 0
OS TF
29 May
OS TF
4 : 2
Austevoll
23 May
Forde
2 : 1
OS TF
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