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Stourbridge vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds

England England

Southern League Central Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Anker J.
71' Event
Anker J.

AI Match Summary

AFC Rushden & Diamonds in this Southern League Central Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Rushden & Diamonds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Stourbridge
35%
Draws
45%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stourbridge lately — more wins on the board than AFC Rushden & Diamonds.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 13%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stourbridge AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.61 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
0:2
Nov 19, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Stourbridge
1:3
Jan 29, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Stourbridge
2:0
Oct 9, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1:1
Feb 20, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Stourbridge
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stourbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.81

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Compare

Top Goalscorer Anker J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stourbridge 35 / 100
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stourbridge AFC Rushden & Diamonds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Rushden & Diamonds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stourbridge scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: AFC Rushden & Diamonds conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Stourbridge has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stourbridge VS AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Stourbridge

(Home)
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1
Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3
Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2
Leamington
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1
Stourbridge
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2
Leiston
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds

(Away)
19 Sept
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
3 : 1
Peterborough Sports
05 Sept
Desborough Town
0 : 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
24 Jul
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1 : 2
Banbury
10 Jul
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 2
Milton Keynes Irish
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 42 27 8 7 93:40 89
2 Coalville Town 42 27 8 7 92:42 89
3 Leiston 42 24 13 5 84:47 85
4 Nuneaton 42 23 10 9 67:45 79
5 Rushall 42 22 7 13 71:52 73
6 Mickleover 42 22 6 14 82:66 72
7 Ilkeston 42 16 13 13 79:66 61
8 Barwell 42 17 10 15 69:63 61
9 Redditch 42 18 7 17 57:59 61
10 Stourbridge 42 15 14 13 69:56 59
11 Alvechurch 42 17 8 17 63:65 59
12 Hitchin 42 16 11 15 52:60 59
13 Royston Town 42 15 10 17 63:73 55
14 Stratford 42 13 13 16 58:70 52
15 Basford Utd. 42 14 10 18 49:62 52
16 St Ives Town 42 14 8 20 64:72 50
17 Needham Market 42 13 9 20 46:54 48
18 Bromsgrove 42 13 9 20 58:78 48
19 Kings Langley 42 10 9 23 45:69 39
20 Hednesford 42 7 10 25 45:76 31
21 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 42 8 7 27 40:87 31
22 Bedford 42 8 6 28 49:93 30
Promotion - Southern League Central Division 2022/2023 (Play Offs)