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Stourbridge vs Hinckley

England England

Southern Premier League 2013/2014
Sat, Apr 5, 2014
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stourbridge host Hinckley in the Southern Premier League 2013/2014. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Stourbridge at 1.46 goals for, 1.54 against; Hinckley at 1.67 for, 2.67 against. Head-to-head, Stourbridge have won 0 to Hinckley's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2014, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.25) point toward Stourbridge. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Stourbridge
25%
Draws
54%
Hinckley
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hinckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stourbridge lately — more wins on the board than Hinckley.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern Premier League 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 19%
Hinckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stourbridge Hinckley
Matches Played 28 3
Wins 10 1
Draws 9 0
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.46 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2014 Southern Premier League
Stourbridge vs Hinckley
0:0
Oct 22, 2013 Southern Premier League
Hinckley vs Stourbridge
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stourbridge 32 / 100
Hinckley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stourbridge Hinckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hinckley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hinckley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

Stourbridge's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Stourbridge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stourbridge VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stourbridge

(Home)
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4
Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1
Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3
Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2
Leamington
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

Hinckley

(Away)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemel Hempstead 44 32 6 6 128:38 102
2 Chesham 44 29 5 10 102:47 92
3 Cambridge City 44 27 7 10 95:49 88
4 St. Albans 44 25 10 9 89:49 85
5 Stourbridge 44 26 6 12 114:54 84
6 Hungerford 44 26 6 12 83:45 84
7 Poole Town 44 25 10 9 82:48 82
8 Bideford 44 18 13 13 75:64 67
9 Biggleswade Town 44 16 16 12 85:61 64
10 Redditch 44 20 3 21 68:85 63
11 Corby 44 18 6 20 65:68 60
12 Weymouth 44 18 6 20 69:80 60
13 Hitchin 44 16 11 17 63:52 59
14 Frome Town 44 16 9 19 63:74 57
15 Arlesey 44 15 10 19 68:79 55
16 Neots 44 15 9 20 74:76 54
17 Truro 44 15 9 20 68:84 54
18 Chippenham Town 44 14 6 24 59:87 48
19 Banbury 44 14 5 25 64:116 47
20 Burnham FC 44 12 8 24 60:91 44
21 AFC Totton 44 10 7 27 58:119 37
22 Bedford 44 6 6 32 46:114 24
23 Bashley 44 4 4 36 33:131 16
Promotion - Vanarama Conference South 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)