Sport Picks
Stourbridge vs Needham Market
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
35'
35'
Morphew K.
90'
90'
Bood B.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Stourbridge and Needham Market finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Needham Market.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Needham Market
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Needham Market carry the better recent record into this one.
- Needham Market are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 16%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | Needham Market |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Needham Market
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stourbridge
3:0
Mar 5, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Needham Market
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stourbridge
1:0
Dec 3, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Needham Market
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Needham Market Compare
Top Goalscorer Morphew K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 15 / 100
Needham Market 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge Needham Market
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Needham Market Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stourbridge found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Needham Market conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Stourbridge remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS Needham Market
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1 Stourbridge
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0 Stamford
01 Aug
Stourbridge
0 : 5 Kidderminster
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Needham Market
(Away) 12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1 Stanway Rovers
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0 Needham Market
31 Aug
Needham Market
3 : 3 Peterborough Sports
29 Aug
Stratford
1 : 2 Needham Market
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0 Needham Market
29 Aug
Stratford
1 : 2 Needham Market
15 Aug
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Needham Market
11 Aug
Hitchin
1 : 3 Needham Market
24 Jul
Felixstowe & Walton
1 : 1 Needham Market
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
