Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stourport vs Holbeach

England England

FA Cup 2015/2016
Tue, Sep 15, 2015
0 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Holbeach advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stourport
30%
Draws
47%
Holbeach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holbeach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Holbeach's 1.56 goals per match outpaces what Stourport have produced (1.25).
  • Win probability leans Stourport's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Holbeach, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Stourport Clean Sheet 14%
Holbeach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stourport Holbeach
Matches Played 12 9
Wins 2 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2015 FA Cup
Stourport vs Holbeach
0:1
Sep 12, 2015 FA Cup
Holbeach vs Stourport
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stourport 35 / 100
Holbeach 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stourport Holbeach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stourport's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Holbeach has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Holbeach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stourport VS Holbeach
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stourport

(Home)
06 Sept
Stourport
0 : 1
Lichfield City
03 Sept
Lichfield City
2 : 2
Stourport
09 Sept
AFC Mansfield
2 : 1
Stourport
15 Sept
Stourport
0 : 1
Holbeach
12 Sept
Holbeach
2 : 2
Stourport
Page 1 of 3

Holbeach

(Away)
02 Sept
Grantham Town
2 : 1
Holbeach
03 Sept
Dereham
2 : 1
Holbeach
29 Sept
Worcester
2 : 0
Holbeach
26 Sept
Holbeach
1 : 1
Worcester
15 Sept
Stourport
0 : 1
Holbeach
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Gateshead -
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Solihull Moors -
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Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Oadby Town 1
Holbeach 3
Stourport 2
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Worcester -
AFC Fylde -
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Stockport County -
Stamford 3
Leamington 2
Newcastle Town 4
Coleshill Town 6
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Barrow -
Wrexham -
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Droylsden 2
Ossett Albion 1
Padiham 0
Lancaster 2
Boston United -
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TBD -
Gainsborough -
Marine 2
Clitheroe 0
Runcorn Linnets 0
Washington 1
Hyde 3
Darlington FC 1
AFC Blackpool 0
Northwich Victoria 4
Whitley Bay 4
Matlock 3
Roofing 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Frickley 2
Maltby 0
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Chorley -
Harrogate -
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Colwyn Bay 0
Workington 5
Spennymoor 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Alsager 0
Burscough 1
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Grimsby -
Barwell 4
Westfields 1
Leighton Town 2
Cogenhoe 3
FC Witham Town 2
Thurrock 1
Wroxham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Ashton United 3
FC Guisborough Town 2
Thackley 2
Abbey Hey 3
Deeping Rangers 6
Leek Town 4
Bedfont & Feltham 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 6
Whitby 1
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Curzon Ashton -
Consett 3
Colne 1
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Bradford PA -
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Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Wulfrunians 2
Long Eaton 0
Basford Utd. 1
Coalville Town 2
Stratford 0
Nantwich 0
Spalding United 1
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Farsley 1
Witton Albion 2
Armthorpe Welfare 4
AFC Liverpool 3
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Buxton 2
Chasetown 3
Grantham Town 0
Redditch 1
Hinckley 2
Kendal 5
Dunston 2
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Stalybridge -
Nuneaton -
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Mickleover 1
Halesowen 2
Newton Aycliffe 2
Brighouse Town 0
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North Ferriby United -
Halifax -
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Guiseley -
Tranmere -
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Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 1
Tividale 0
Belper Town 1
Dunkirk 3
Corby -
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Shepshed 1
Rushall 4
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Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
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Hednesford -
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Holwell 2
Bedworth United 4
Tamworth -
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Alfreton -
Brackley -
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Farnham 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Lincoln Utd. 2
Clipstone 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Rugby 3
Kettering 5
Market Drayton 0
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Telford -
Skelmersdale 3
Glossop North End 2
Goole 4
Bamber Bridge 6
Altrincham -
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Chester -
Whitehawk -
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Hampton & Richmond 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Bideford 3
Hamworthy United 1
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Gosport Borough -
Hastings 1
Thatcham 0
Rochester United 1
Herne Bay 3
Hayes & Yeading -
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Barnstaple Town 0
Poole Town 1
Maidenhead -
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Swindon Supermarine 0
Winchester City 4
Wimborne 3
Witheridge 2
Cheltenham Saracens 1
Blackfield & Langley 2
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Woking -
Basingstoke -
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Dorking Wanderers 0
Slough Town 1
Ebbsfleet -
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Chelmsford -
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Torquay -
Grays 5
Biggleswade United 0
Basildon 0
Hullbridge 1
Mildenhall 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
Saffron 0
Hanwell Town 1
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Welling -
Boreham Wood -
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Worthing FC 2
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 3
Neots 6
Phoenix Sports 2
Lewes 0
Cambridge City 1
Hornchurch 2
Wealdstone -
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Brantham 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Portchester 3
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Mangotsfield 0
Brockenhurst 3
Oxford City -
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Bracknell Town 3
Shortwood 4
Lowestoft -
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Merstham 1
Bognor Regis 2
Didcot 5
VCD Athletic 4
Harrow Borough 0
Northwood 1
Chatham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Shoreham 2
Eastbourne Town 3
Hoddesdon 3
Ashford Town 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon FC 1
Molesey 0
Arlesey 0
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough -
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Hendon 1
Sudbury 3
Merthyr Town 2
Plymouth Parkway 0
Fleet Town 1
Hartley Wintney 5
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Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
Cinderford Town 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Slimbridge 3
Greenwich Borough 2
Chessington & Hook 2
North Leigh 3
Hitchin 5
Peterborough Sports 3
Beaconsfield Town 1
Kirkley & Pakefield 2
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Canvey Island 0
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Staines 5
Faversham 3
Needham Market 1
Stanway Rovers 4
Carshalton 2
Pagham 1
Yaxley 1
East Thurrock Utd 3
Leiston 1
AFC Dunstable 0
Folkestone 2
Tonbridge 3
Kidlington 1
Godalming Town 0
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Gloucester City -
Aldershot -
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Hemel Hempstead -
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Cockfosters 1
Bury Town 2
Stortford -
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Sutton -
Bromley -
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Eastleigh -
Margate -
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Haringey Borough 0
Potters 3
Taunton Town 3
Tuffley Rovers 0
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Truro -
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Forest Green -
Braintree -
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Harlow 5
Bedford 1
Welwyn Garden 0
St Ives Town 1
Bodmin Town 2
Almondsbury UWE 0
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Bath City -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Bridport 2
Larkhall 5
Horsham YMCA 2
Burgess Hill 1
Histon 1
Aveley 5
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Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 1
Frome Town 0
Hungerford 1
Bradford Town 3
Dartford -
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Heybridge 1
Uxbridge 3
Dunstable Town 2
Barton 1
Farnborough 3
Kingstonian 4
South Park 4
Leatherhead 2
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Maidstone -
St. Albans -
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Whitstable Town 1
Deal Town 3
Cirencester 4
Dorchester 2
Weymouth 1
Petersfield 3
Wingate & Finchley 4
Long Buckby 0
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Concord Rangers -
Hook Norton 1
Eastbourne United 0
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Weston-super-Mare -
Quarter-finals
Gateshead -
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Solihull Moors 3
Oadby Town 1
Holbeach 1
Worcester 3
AFC Fylde 1
Stockport County 0
Stamford 0
Coleshill Town 2
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Barrow -
Wrexham -
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Droylsden 2
Lancaster 0
Boston United 0
Gainsborough 2
Marine 6
Washington 5
Hyde 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Whitley Bay 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Frickley 0
Chorley 2
Harrogate 1
Workington 0
Spennymoor 0
Burscough 2
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Grimsby -
Barwell 5
Cogenhoe 0
FC Witham Town 0
King’s Lynn 1
Ashton United 5
Abbey Hey 0
Deeping Rangers 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Salford 2
Curzon Ashton 1
Consett 1
Bradford PA 2
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Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Basford Utd. 2
Coalville Town 0
Spalding United 3
United of Manchester 3
Witton Albion 1
Armthorpe Welfare 1
Buxton 6
Chasetown 5
Hinckley 2
Kendal 2
Stalybridge 3
Nuneaton 2
Halesowen 0
Newton Aycliffe 0
North Ferriby United 3
Halifax -
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Guiseley -
Tranmere -
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Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 3
Dunkirk 1
Corby 2
Rushall 3
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Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
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Hednesford 2
Bedworth United 0
Tamworth 2
Alfreton 3
Brackley 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Lincoln Utd. 2
Rugby 3
Kettering 2
Telford 1
Skelmersdale 0
Bamber Bridge 2
Altrincham -
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Chester -
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Bideford 0
Gosport Borough 7
Hastings 4
Herne Bay 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Poole Town 3
Maidenhead 5
Winchester City 3
Wimborne 1
Blackfield & Langley 6
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Woking -
Basingstoke 4
Slough Town 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Chelmsford 2
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Torquay -
Grays 6
Hullbridge 0
Mildenhall 0
Hanwell Town 1
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Welling -
Boreham Wood -
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Worthing FC 4
Neots 3
Phoenix Sports 3
Hornchurch 5
Wealdstone 3
Biggleswade Town 1
Portchester 0
Brockenhurst 1
Oxford City 3
Shortwood 1
Lowestoft 1
Bognor Regis 2
Didcot 2
Northwood 1
Chatham 1
Eastbourne Town 2
Hoddesdon 2
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon FC 1
Brentwood 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Sudbury 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hartley Wintney 1
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Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
Paulton Rovers 0
Slimbridge 1
North Leigh 4
Hitchin 2
Kirkley & Pakefield 0
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Enfield Town 1
Staines 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Carshalton 0
East Thurrock Utd 5
Leiston 3
Tonbridge 1
Kidlington 2
Gloucester City 4
Aldershot -
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Hemel Hempstead 3
Bury Town 0
Stortford 0
Sutton 2
Bromley -
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Eastleigh -
Margate 5
Potters 1
Taunton Town 3
Truro 5
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Forest Green -
Braintree -
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Harlow 3
St Ives Town 0
Bodmin Town 1
Bath City 2
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Larkhall 3
Horsham YMCA 3
Aveley 6
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Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 3
Bradford Town 2
Dartford 0
Uxbridge 1
Dunstable Town 2
Kingstonian 0
South Park 2
Maidstone 6
St. Albans 2
Deal Town 1
Cirencester 1
Petersfield 3
Wingate & Finchley 2
Concord Rangers 1
Hook Norton 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead -
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Solihull Moors 1
Worcester 2
AFC Fylde 9
Coleshill Town 0
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Barrow -
Wrexham -
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Droylsden 3
Gainsborough 4
Marine 2
Northwich Victoria 4
Whitley Bay 2
Chorley 3
Harrogate 3
Burscough 0
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Grimsby -
Barwell 1
King’s Lynn 0
Ashton United 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 2
Bradford PA 1
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Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Spalding United 2
United of Manchester 3
Buxton 1
Chasetown 1
Stalybridge 3
Nuneaton 1
North Ferriby United 2
Halifax -
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Guiseley -
Tranmere -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 0
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
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Hednesford 2
Alfreton 4
Brackley 3
Rugby 1
Kettering 3
Bamber Bridge 4
Altrincham -
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Chester -
Whitehawk 4
Gosport Borough 3
Hastings 0
Poole Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
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Woking -
Basingstoke 4
Chelmsford 2
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Torquay -
Grays 2
Hanwell Town 1
TBD -
Welling -
Boreham Wood -
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Worthing FC 1
Hornchurch 4
Wealdstone 5
Brockenhurst 1
Oxford City 2
Bognor Regis 4
Didcot 4
Eastbourne Town 1
Hoddesdon 1
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Hartley Wintney 2
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Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
North Leigh 0
Hitchin 1
Enfield Town 2
Staines 6
East Thurrock Utd 3
Leiston 1
Gloucester City 3
Aldershot -
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Hemel Hempstead 2
Sutton 3
Bromley -
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Eastleigh -
Margate 4
Truro 1
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Forest Green -
Braintree -
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Harlow 4
Bath City 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Aveley 0
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Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 3
Uxbridge 0
Dunstable Town 0
Maidstone 2
St. Albans 1
Petersfield 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Weston-super-Mare 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Gateshead 1
Worcester 2
AFC Fylde 1
Barrow 0
Wrexham 0
Gainsborough 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Chorley 1
Harrogate 1
Grimsby 4
Barwell 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 1
Southport 0
Sporting Khalsa 1
United of Manchester 3
Stalybridge 2
North Ferriby United 1
Halifax 4
Guiseley 3
Tranmere 0
Lincoln City 2
Stourbridge 3
Kidderminster 0
Macclesfield 3
Alfreton 2
Brackley 3
Bamber Bridge 0
Altrincham 1
Chester 0
Whitehawk 2
Poole Town 0
Maidenhead 3
Woking 0
Basingstoke 3
Torquay 0
Grays 1
Welling 5
Boreham Wood 2
Hornchurch 1
Wealdstone 2
Bognor Regis 1
Didcot 4
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dover Ath. 2
Chesham 2
Enfield Town 1
Staines 2
Gloucester City 1
Aldershot 1
Sutton 0
Bromley 1
Eastleigh 2
Margate 1
Forest Green 2
Braintree 2
Harlow 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Cheltenham 4
Chippenham Town 0
Maidstone 2
St. Albans 2
Weston-super-Mare 1