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Strabane Athletic vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strabane Athletic host Ballinamallard in the NIFL Championship. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Strabane Athletic at 1.56 goals for, 2 against; Ballinamallard at 1.07 for, 1.4 against. Head-to-head, Strabane Athletic have won 0 to Ballinamallard's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2014, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.94) back Strabane Athletic to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Strabane Athletic
35%
Draws
37%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Ballinamallard haven't matched Strabane Athletic's recent run of results.
  • Strabane Athletic are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strabane Athletic Ballinamallard
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.07
Goals Conceded 2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2014 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Strabane Athletic
1:0
Jan 11, 2014 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Strabane Athletic
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strabane Athletic 47 / 100
Ballinamallard 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strabane Athletic Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strabane Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballinamallard has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Strabane Athletic's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Strabane Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Strabane Athletic VS Ballinamallard
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strabane Athletic

(Home)
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
05 Sept
Queens University
6 : 0
Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
7 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
8 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
9 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
10 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
12 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)