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Stranraer vs Celtic B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Stair Park, Stranraer
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Dolan J.
(Penalty)
46' Event
Clearie L.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Healy A.
Assist: Clelland D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Stranraer
35%
Draws
20%
Celtic B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic B haven't matched Stranraer's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Stranraer taking it.
  • Stranraer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Celtic B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 16%
Celtic B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Celtic B
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.93 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Challenge Cup
Stranraer vs Celtic B
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Foster R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Celtic B Compare

Top Goalscorer Clearie L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mcardle S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 84 / 100
Celtic B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Celtic B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic B let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stranraer stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Stranraer's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Celtic B
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)
17 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Stranraer
13 Oct
Stranraer
3 : 3
Kilmarnock B
10 Oct
Annan
1 : 6
Stranraer
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6

Celtic B

(Away)
16 Oct
Celtic B
0 : 1
Caledonian Braves
13 Oct
Cowdenbeath
2 : 3
Celtic B
26 Sept
Clachnacuddin
3 : 3
Celtic B
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Ross County 6 5 0 1 30:7 15
3 Airdrieonians 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
4 Cove Rangers 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
5 Peterhead 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
6 East Kilbride 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
7 St. Mirren B 6 4 0 2 19:8 12
8 Elgin City 6 4 0 2 14:3 12
9 Alloa 6 3 3 0 12:5 12
10 Hamilton 6 4 0 2 11:4 12
11 Montrose 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Celtic B 6 3 3 0 18:14 12
13 Queen of the South 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
14 Stirling 6 3 2 1 16:12 11
15 Aberdeen B 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
16 Bonnyrigg Rose 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
17 Edinburgh City 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
18 Berwick 6 3 1 2 11:15 10
19 Annan 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
20 Formartine Utd 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
21 Spartans 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
22 Kelty Hearts 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
23 Hearts B 6 3 0 3 17:29 9
24 Stranraer 6 2 1 3 16:15 7
25 East Fife 6 2 1 3 13:13 7
26 Forfar Athletic 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
27 Banks O' Dee 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
28 Dumbarton 6 2 1 3 10:19 7
29 Rangers B 6 2 0 4 11:11 6
30 Clyde 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
31 Kilmarnock B 6 1 2 3 11:16 5
32 Cumbernauld Colts 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
33 Clachnacuddin 6 1 1 4 11:17 4
34 Fraserburgh 6 1 1 4 7:21 4
35 Dundee FC B 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
36 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 6 0 2 4 3:17 2
38 Hibernian B 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
39 Cowdenbeath 6 0 0 6 6:15 0
40 Motherwell B 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)