Sport Picks

Stranraer vs Edinburgh City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup Stair Park, Stranraer

Stranraer

0 - 2

Edinburgh City

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Sub

McKinley C. In: North T.

Out: McKinley C.

31'

Leitch J.

Assist: Lawson I.

33'

Waugh R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Stranraer

20%

Draws

40%

Edinburgh City

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Stranraer average 1.64 goals a game right now, well clear of Edinburgh City's 1.41.
Stranraer are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Edinburgh City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Stranraer Clean Sheet 68%

Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stranraer	Edinburgh City
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	11
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.64	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 League Two

Stranraer vs Edinburgh City

0:0

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

Stranraer vs Edinburgh City

0:2

Mar 7, 2026 League Two

Edinburgh City vs Stranraer

4:1

Jan 3, 2026 League Two

Stranraer vs Edinburgh City

1:1

Oct 18, 2025 League Two

Edinburgh City vs Stranraer

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58

Avg xA / game 1.03

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitch J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader North T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 59 / 100

Edinburgh City 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stranraer Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 7:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stranraer scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Edinburgh City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Stranraer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Edinburgh City

2.75 Goals Scored 2

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)

03 Oct

Stranraer

0 : 0

Edinburgh City

26 Sept

Stranraer

4 : 3

East Kilbride

22 Sept

Berwick

3 : 2

Stranraer

19 Sept

Elgin City

1 : 5

Stranraer

12 Sept

Stranraer

3 : 1

Dumbarton

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Edinburgh City

(Away)

03 Oct

Stranraer

0 : 0

Edinburgh City

26 Sept

Formartine Utd

2 : 0

Edinburgh City

22 Sept

Edinburgh City

1 : 0

Dundee Utd B

19 Sept

Kelty Hearts

1 : 3

Edinburgh City

12 Sept

Edinburgh City

7 : 3

Stirling

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