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Stranraer vs Tayport FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Stranraer have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Tayport FC's 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.44) point toward Stranraer. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Stranraer
20%
Draws
28%
Tayport FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stranraer come out ahead of Tayport FC on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Stranraer taking it.
  • Stranraer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 16%
Tayport FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Tayport FC
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 84 / 100
Tayport FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Tayport FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tayport FC let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Stranraer stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Stranraer scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Tayport FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Tayport FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)
17 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Stranraer
13 Oct
Stranraer
3 : 3
Kilmarnock B
10 Oct
Annan
1 : 6
Stranraer
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6

Tayport FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Tayport FC
3 : 0
Wick Academy
25 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 0
Tayport FC
27 Sept
Coldstream
2 : 3
Tayport FC
20 Jul
Tayport FC
1 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
23 Sept
Tayport FC
0 : 4
Buckie Thistle

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
Annan -
Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
Penicuik -
Clyde -
Threave Rovers -
Pollok -
Clydebank FC -
Tranent FC -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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