Sport Picks
Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction & H2H Stats
France
Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg 
Match Events
20'
20'
Dieme Y.
27'
27'
Amo-Ameyaw S.
Assist: Doukoure I.
43'
43'
Methalie D.
Assist: Casseres C.
AI Match Summary
Toulouse in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulouse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Strasbourg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Strasbourg lately — more wins on the board than Toulouse.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 13%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Strasbourg | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Toulouse
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Strasbourg
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Toulouse
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Strasbourg
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Strasbourg
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Strasbourg Compare
Top Goalscorer Amo-Ameyaw S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Toulouse Compare
Top Goalscorer Methalie D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Emersonn
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Strasbourg 30 / 100
Toulouse 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Strasbourg Toulouse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strasbourg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toulouse let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Strasbourg scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Strasbourg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Strasbourg VS Toulouse
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Strasbourg
(Home) 19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1 Strasbourg
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6 Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
04 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 5 Elversberg
25 Jul
Strasbourg
0 : 2 Blackburn
17 May
Strasbourg
5 : 4 Monaco
Page 1 of 3
Toulouse
(Away) 03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3 Pau
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0 Toulouse
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1 Toulouse
17 May
Nantes
0 : 0 Toulouse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
