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Stadium Background

Strasbourg W vs Lille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Strasbourg W
30%
Draws
23%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Strasbourg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Strasbourg W come out ahead of Lille W on wins alone.
  • Strasbourg W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Strasbourg W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lille W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Strasbourg W Clean Sheet 13%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strasbourg W Lille W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Lille W
4:3
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Strasbourg W vs Lille W
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Strasbourg W vs Lille W
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Strasbourg W vs Lille W
1:2
Apr 16, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Strasbourg W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strasbourg W 48 / 100
Lille W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strasbourg W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strasbourg W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Lille W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Strasbourg W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Strasbourg W VS Lille W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strasbourg W

(Home)
21 Oct
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Strasbourg W
17 Oct
Lens W
1 : 3
Strasbourg W
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
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Lille W

(Away)
21 Oct
Lille W
0 : 1
Cannes W
18 Oct
Roubaix W
0 : 1
Lille W
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)