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Stratford vs Long Eaton

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
McCone P.
50' Event
Ebanks C.
58' Event
Betts O.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Stratford and Long Eaton finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stratford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Stratford
20%
Draws
16%
Long Eaton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stratford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Stratford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Stratford taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stratford here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Stratford Clean Sheet 68%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stratford Long Eaton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.18 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Long Eaton
3:2
Nov 25, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Stratford
2:3
Oct 2, 2021 FA Cup
Stratford vs Long Eaton
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stratford Compare

Top Goalscorer McCone P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ebanks C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Long Eaton Compare

Top Goalscorer Betts O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wright A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stratford 86 / 100
Long Eaton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stratford Long Eaton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stratford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Long Eaton conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Stratford scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Long Eaton's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stratford VS Long Eaton
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Stratford

(Home)
22 Sept
Stratford
2 : 3
Bromsgrove
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1
Stratford
12 Sept
Kettering
1 : 0
Stratford
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
31 Aug
Racing Club Warwick
0 : 0
Stratford
Page 1 of 6

Long Eaton

(Away)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)