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Straz pod Ralskem vs FC Pencin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Liberecky KP
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Straz pod Ralskem host FC Pencin in the Liberecky KP. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Straz pod Ralskem have averaged 2.14 scored and 2.68 conceded recently, against FC Pencin's 3.17 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Straz pod Ralskem have won 0 to FC Pencin's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 5:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 3.56) point toward FC Pencin. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Straz pod Ralskem
15%
Draws
68%
FC Pencin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Pencin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Pencin lately — more wins on the board than Straz pod Ralskem.
  • Model gives FC Pencin a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liberecky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Pencin have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Straz pod Ralskem Clean Sheet 10%
FC Pencin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Straz pod Ralskem FC Pencin
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 2.14 3.17
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Straz pod Ralskem
5:2
Nov 1, 2025 Liberecky KP
Straz pod Ralskem vs FC Pencin
0:5
Apr 26, 2025 Liberecky KP
Straz pod Ralskem vs FC Pencin
1:4
Sep 28, 2024 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Straz pod Ralskem
5:0
Jun 8, 2024 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Straz pod Ralskem
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Straz pod Ralskem 10 / 100
FC Pencin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Straz pod Ralskem FC Pencin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Pencin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Straz pod Ralskem scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

FC Pencin has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Straz pod Ralskem stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Straz pod Ralskem VS FC Pencin
1.5 Goals Scored 3.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Straz pod Ralskem

(Home)
03 Oct
Straz pod Ralskem
3 : 5
Lomnice nad Popelkou
27 Sept
Visnova
7 : 2
Straz pod Ralskem
19 Sept
Straz pod Ralskem
4 : 1
Zelezny Brod
12 Sept
Jivan Bela
5 : 1
Straz pod Ralskem
05 Sept
Straz pod Ralskem
1 : 5
Hradek nad Nisou
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FC Pencin

(Away)
04 Oct
Rozstani
3 : 1
FC Pencin
26 Sept
FC Pencin
6 : 1
Sokol Pencin
19 Sept
FK Ceska Lipa B
1 : 2
FC Pencin
12 Sept
FC Pencin
6 : 0
Chrastava
05 Sept
FC Pencin
6 : 0
SK Vilemov
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