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Stresa Vergante vs Fossano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gioria M.
35' Event
Malltezi O.
41' Event
Scotto S.

AI Match Summary

Stresa Vergante in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stresa Vergante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Stresa Vergante
6%
Draws
4%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stresa Vergante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fossano lately — more wins on the board than Stresa Vergante.
  • Model gives Stresa Vergante a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 68%
Fossano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stresa Vergante Fossano
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Fossano
3:2
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Stresa Vergante
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stresa Vergante Compare

Top Goalscorer Gioria M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorenzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Malltezi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scotto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stresa Vergante 95 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stresa Vergante Fossano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Fossano registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Stresa Vergante found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Fossano
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestri Levante38304477:2994
2Sanremese382111659:3374
3Bra382111659:3174
4Vado381912761:4069
5Ligorna381715650:3666
6Legnano381791253:3560
7Asti Calcio381318744:3557
8Gozzano381671551:4855
9Borgosesia Calcio3814101454:5452
10PDHA3812111533:4347
11Castellanzese3811131451:5546
12AC Chieri3810151341:4545
13Fezzanese3811121547:5845
14Chisola3811101743:5343
15Pinerolo388181238:4442
16Derthona FbC389151455:6242
17Castanese389121743:5739
18Stresa Vergante387131837:4734
19Casale38592428:7924
20Fossano381112640:8014