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Stresa Vergante vs Pinerolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ciliberto A.
38' Event
Utieyin F.
Own Goal
81' Event
Ozara D.

AI Match Summary

Pinerolo in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinerolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Stresa Vergante
28%
Draws
22%
Pinerolo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stresa Vergante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pinerolo have won more games recently than Stresa Vergante.
  • Stresa Vergante are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 68%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stresa Vergante Pinerolo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Pinerolo
1:2
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Stresa Vergante
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stresa Vergante Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pinerolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciliberto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozara D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stresa Vergante 59 / 100
Pinerolo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stresa Vergante Pinerolo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stresa Vergante scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Pinerolo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Stresa Vergante went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinerolo
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestri Levante38304477:2994
2Sanremese382111659:3374
3Bra382111659:3174
4Vado381912761:4069
5Ligorna381715650:3666
6Legnano381791253:3560
7Asti Calcio381318744:3557
8Gozzano381671551:4855
9Borgosesia Calcio3814101454:5452
10PDHA3812111533:4347
11Castellanzese3811131451:5546
12AC Chieri3810151341:4545
13Fezzanese3811121547:5845
14Chisola3811101743:5343
15Pinerolo388181238:4442
16Derthona FbC389151455:6242
17Castanese389121743:5739
18Stresa Vergante387131837:4734
19Casale38592428:7924
20Fossano381112640:8014