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Strogino Moscow vs Arsenal Tula 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Tsechoev A.
90' Event
Chelyshev N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Strogino Moscow and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strogino Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Strogino Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Strogino Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal Tula 2 come out ahead of Strogino Moscow on wins alone.
  • Strogino Moscow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Strogino Moscow Clean Sheet 13%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strogino Moscow Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Strogino Moscow
1:0
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Strogino Moscow
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strogino Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsechoev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chelyshev N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strogino Moscow 84 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strogino Moscow Arsenal Tula 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal Tula 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Strogino Moscow scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Strogino Moscow VS Arsenal Tula 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%