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Stromsgodset 2 vs Lillehammer

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2025
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Match Events

33' Event
Holder N.
Own Goal
80' Event
Nygard M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2025 game between Stromsgodset 2 and Lillehammer finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stromsgodset 2
6%
Draws
90%
Lillehammer
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillehammer come out ahead of Stromsgodset 2 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lillehammer taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stromsgodset 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stromsgodset 2 Lillehammer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.63 4.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 4.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Stromsgodset 2 vs Lillehammer
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillehammer vs Stromsgodset 2
1:0
Aug 27, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Lillehammer vs Stromsgodset 2
3:4
May 14, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Stromsgodset 2 vs Lillehammer
1:1
Oct 5, 2010 Division 2 - Group 4
Lillehammer vs Stromsgodset 2
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stromsgodset 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lillehammer Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygard M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.32
Avg xA / game 2.64

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stromsgodset 2 10 / 100
Lillehammer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stromsgodset 2 Lillehammer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Stromsgodset 2 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Lillehammer has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Stromsgodset 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stromsgodset 2 VS Lillehammer
1.63 Goals Scored 4.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 88%