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Stromsgodset vs Egersund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ekeland J.
Assist: Vatne S.
21' Event
Stengel H.
Penalty Missed
26'
Vatne S.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Stromsgodset and Egersund finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Egersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Stromsgodset
30%
Draws
19%
Egersund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stromsgodset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Stromsgodset carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stromsgodset a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 20%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stromsgodset Egersund
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.71 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stromsgodset vs Egersund
0:2
May 31, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Stromsgodset
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stromsgodset Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Egersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tornvig N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stromsgodset 85 / 100
Egersund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stromsgodset Egersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stromsgodset found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Stromsgodset has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Egersund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stromsgodset VS Egersund
3 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stromsgodset

(Home)
03 Oct
Stromsgodset
1 : 0
Asane
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4
Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Odds BK
1 : 1
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6

Egersund

(Away)
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)