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Stromsgodset vs Moss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stromsgodset host Moss in the OBOS-ligaen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Stromsgodset have averaged 2.97 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Moss's 1.52 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Stromsgodset slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.06) point toward Stromsgodset. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Stromsgodset
15%
Draws
18%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stromsgodset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stromsgodset lately — more wins on the board than Moss.
  • Model gives Stromsgodset a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 20%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stromsgodset Moss
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stromsgodset
1:1
Jun 27, 2007 NM Cup
Moss vs Stromsgodset
0:3
Oct 22, 2006 OBOS-ligaen
Stromsgodset vs Moss
1:0
Jul 9, 2006 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stromsgodset
3:1
Sep 11, 2005 OBOS-ligaen
Stromsgodset vs Moss
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stromsgodset 85 / 100
Moss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stromsgodset Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stromsgodset's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Moss has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Stromsgodset has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Stromsgodset VS Moss
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stromsgodset

(Home)
18 Oct
Stromsgodset
5 : 0
Haugesund
14 Oct
Stromsgodset
5 : 1
Kongsvinger
11 Oct
Lyn
1 : 5
Stromsgodset
03 Oct
Stromsgodset
1 : 0
Asane
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6

Moss

(Away)
18 Oct
Lyn
1 : 0
Moss
14 Oct
Moss
0 : 0
Egersund
11 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 2
Moss
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stromsgodset 27 18 6 3 76:33 60
2 Kongsvinger 27 18 5 4 81:42 59
3 Haugesund 27 19 2 6 78:45 59
4 Stabaek 27 16 4 7 64:34 52
5 Odds BK 27 13 6 8 54:41 45
6 Bryne 27 12 3 12 37:38 39
7 Hodd 27 11 5 11 47:53 38
8 Ranheim 27 10 5 12 68:67 35
9 Egersund 27 9 7 11 42:53 34
10 Strommen 27 9 6 12 48:59 33
11 Lyn 27 9 4 14 41:57 31
12 Moss 27 8 5 14 40:56 29
13 Sandnes Ulf 27 7 5 15 37:54 26
14 Sogndal 26 6 6 14 42:59 24
15 Asane 27 6 5 16 37:61 22
16 Raufoss 26 6 2 18 29:69 20
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)