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Stropkov vs Spisska Nova Ves

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stropkov play Spisska Nova Ves in the 3. Liga - East 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stropkov averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Spisska Nova Ves averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Stropkov won 2, Spisska Nova Ves won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Stropkov and 1.81 for Spisska Nova Ves. This points to a Spisska Nova Ves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stropkov
15%
Draws
48%
Spisska Nova Ves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spisska Nova Ves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Stropkov picked up more points recently compared to Spisska Nova Ves.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Stropkov Clean Sheet 11%
Spisska Nova Ves Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stropkov Spisska Nova Ves
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.03 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 3. Liga - East
Stropkov vs Spisska Nova Ves
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 3. Liga - East
Spisska Nova Ves vs Stropkov
2:1
Mar 23, 2025 3. Liga - East
Stropkov vs Spisska Nova Ves
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 3. Liga - East
Spisska Nova Ves vs Stropkov
1:3
Mar 4, 2023 3. Liga - East
Spisska Nova Ves vs Stropkov
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stropkov 36 / 100
Spisska Nova Ves 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stropkov Spisska Nova Ves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spisska Nova Ves or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stropkov attacking → ← attacking Spisska Nova Ves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stropkov scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Spisska Nova Ves let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Stropkov went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Spisska Nova Ves lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 62
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38