Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Hristo Radovanov Stadium

Strumska Slava

1 - 0

Rilski Sportist

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Strumska Slava in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strumska Slava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Strumska Slava

22%

Draws

18%

Rilski Sportist

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Rilski Sportist lately — more wins on the board than Strumska Slava.
Model gives Strumska Slava a 60% chance of winning this.
Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 18%

Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Strumska Slava	Rilski Sportist
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	17	22
Draws	5	2
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.17	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.33	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Third League - South-West

Strumska Slava vs Rilski Sportist

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Aug 23, 2025 Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist vs Strumska Slava

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strumska Slava 58 / 100

Rilski Sportist 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Strumska Slava Rilski Sportist

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strumska Slava found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Strumska Slava stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Rilski Sportist registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strumska Slava VS Rilski Sportist

1.17 Goals Scored 1.38

1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75

83% Over 1.5 63%

67% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38