Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sturm Graz U19 vs Olympiacos Piraeus U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Wed, Mar 5, 2025
1 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Hodl J.
20'
Plionis P.
40'
Mustafic S.

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sturm Graz U19
39%
Draws
31%
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus U19 have won more games recently than Sturm Graz U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Olympiacos Piraeus U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sturm Graz U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz U19 Olympiacos Piraeus U19
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Sturm Graz U19 vs Olympiacos Piraeus U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Olympiacos Piraeus U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Papakanellos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz U19 41 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz U19 Olympiacos Piraeus U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz U19 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Olympiacos Piraeus U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sturm Graz U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz U19 VS Olympiacos Piraeus U19
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz U19

(Home)
05 Mar
Sturm Graz U19
1 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
12 Feb
Lok. Zagreb U19
1 : 2
Sturm Graz U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Sturm Graz U19
0 : 0
Girona U19
05 Nov
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Sturm Graz U19
Page 1 of 2

Olympiacos Piraeus U19

(Away)
09 Dec
Kairat Almaty U19
2 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
26 Nov
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
0 : 2
Real Madrid U19
04 Nov
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
2 : 2
PSV U19
21 Oct
Barcelona U19
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
01 Oct
Arsenal U19
1 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Salzburg U192
Celtic U191
Rapid Vienna U191
Atl. Madrid U192
Lok. Zagreb U191
Sturm Graz U192
Olympiacos Piraeus U191
Girona U190
Trabzonspor U191
Juventus U190
Dynamo Kyiv U193
Atalanta U194
Betis U190
Bayern U191
Inter U193
Lille U191
Real Madrid U192
Dortmund U190
AZ Alkmaar U193
Benfica U192
Hoffenheim U195
Shakhtar U191
Midtjylland U192
Manchester City U193
Sporting CP U194
Monaco U190
VfB Stuttgart U193
Liverpool U192
Puskas Akademia U191
Aston Villa U192
Barcelona U193
Din. Zagreb U192
1/8-finals
Salzburg U192
Atl. Madrid U191
Sturm Graz U191
Olympiacos Piraeus U192
Trabzonspor U191
Atalanta U190
Bayern U191
Inter U192
Real Madrid U190
AZ Alkmaar U192
Hoffenheim U191
Manchester City U192
Sporting CP U192
VfB Stuttgart U193
Aston Villa U191
Barcelona U193
Quarter-finals
Salzburg U191
Olympiacos Piraeus U190
Trabzonspor U191
Inter U190
AZ Alkmaar U191
Manchester City U190
VfB Stuttgart U191
Barcelona U192
Semi-finals
Salzburg U191
Trabzonspor U192
AZ Alkmaar U190
Barcelona U191
Final
Trabzonspor U191
Barcelona U194